Article:

Gyalistras, D. & Fischlin, A., 1995. Downscaling: applications to ecosystems modeling.
        In: Muircheartaigh, I.O. (ed.): Proc. of the 6th International Meeting on 
        Statistical Climatology, Galway, Ireland: June 19-23d, 1995. University College, 
        Galway, Ireland, pp. 189-192.

Abstract:

We discuss the potentials and limitations of statistical downscaling (DS) when dealing with terrestrial ecosystems studies in complex terrains, by providing examples based on a linear DS technique and the dynamic forest gap model ForClim. We show that DS is essential to assess regional ecosystem responses to global climate change in a sensible manner. However, for several applications DS needs to be complemented by additional techiques such as spatial interpolation, stochastic weather generation, the parameterization of regional climate responses as a function of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, and the estimation of the uncertainties that occur within or between future climate scenarios.

Full text PDF (2.1MB)


back