ETH Zürich - D-UWIS - Institute of Integrative Biology - Systems Ecology

Publications

Systems Ecology Reports are available here

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2009

Fischlin, A., 2009. Do we have sufficient safety margins in climate policies? [Berücksichtigen wir in der Klimapolitik genügend Sicherheitsmargen?]. GAIA, 18(3): 193-199. [Abstract] [Article 608KB]
Fischlin, A. & Midgley, G.F., 2009. Risks for ecosystems - key findings from the Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC. In: Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions, Copenhagen, Denmark, 10–12 March 2009, IOP Conf. Series: Earth and Environ. Sci., 6(062014): 1. doi: 10.1088/1755-1307/6/6/062014 published online 9. march 2009 within section ''Tipping Elements in the Earth System'' [pdf 312KB] [presentation 7.2MB]
Warren, R., Price, J., Fischlin, A., Midgley, G. & Santiago de la Nava, S., 2009. Increasing impacts of climate change upon ecosystems with increasing global mean temperature rise. In: Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions, Copenhagen, Denmark, 10–12 March 2009, IOP Conf. Series: Earth and Environ. Sci., 6(302037): 2. doi: 10.1088/1755-1307/6/30/302037 published online 9. march 2009 within section ''Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystem Services'' [pdf 312KB]
Gyalistras, D., & Fischlin, A., Morari, M., Jones, C.N., Oldewurtel, F., Parisio. A., Frank, T., Carl, S., Dorer, V., Lehmann, B., Wirth, K., Steiner, P., Schubiger, F., Stauch, V., Tödtli, J., Gähler, C. & Gwerder, M., 2009. Saving energy by improved building control. In: Abstracts Book of the Annual Meeting of The Alliance for Global Sustainability: Urban Futures: the Challenge of Sustainability, 26-29 January 2009, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, p36. [abstract 688KB] [poster 256KB]
Gyalistras, D., & Fischlin, A., Morari, M., Jones, C.N., Oldewurtel, F., Parisio. A., Frank, T., Carl, S., Dorer, V., Lehmann, B., Wirth, K., Steiner, P., Schubiger, F., Stauch, V., Tödtli, J., Gähler, C. & Gwerder, M., 2009. Use of Weather and Occupancy Forecasts for Optimal Building Climate Control (OptiControl). Project Presentation, version 15-Jan-2009. [presentation 692KB]
Fischlin, A., Ayres, M., Karnosky, D., Kellomäki, S., Louman, B., Ong, C., Plattner, G.K., Santoso, H. & Thompson, I., 2009. Future environmental impacts and vulnerabilities. In: Seppälä, R., Buck, A. & Katila, P. (eds.), Adaptation of forests and people to climate change – A global assessment report. International Union of Forest Research Organizations (IUFRO), Prepared by the Global Forest Expert Panel on Adaptation of Forests to Climate Change, Helsinki, Finland, pp. 53-100. [pdf 17.1MB] Entire report
See also Nature News article on these findings.
Louman, B., Fischlin, A., Glück, P., Innes, J., Lucier, A., Parrotta, J., Santoso, H., Thompson, I. & Wreford, A., 2009. Forest ecosystem services: a cornerstone for human well-being. In: Seppälä, R., Buck, A. & Katila, P. (eds.), Adaptation of forests and people to climate change – A global assessment report. International Union of Forest Research Organizations (IUFRO), Prepared by the Global Forest Expert Panel on Adaptation of Forests to Climate Change, Helsinki, Finland, pp. 15-27. [pdf 5.7MB] Entire report
Fischlin, A., 2009. 12 Fragen an... Andreas Fischlin. GAIA, 18(1): 6-7. [Article 232KB]
Fischlin, A., 2009. Klimawandel - Wissensstand und politische Handlungsnotwendigkeit. In: Piller, B. (ed.), Fachtagung 2009: Klimawandel, Erdölknappheit, Wirtschaftskrise, Schweizerische Energie-Stiftung SES, Zurich, Switzerland, Zurich, Technopark; 28.Aug.2009, Schweizerische Energie-Stiftung SES, p. 9. [Article 188KB]

2008

Fischlin, A. & Haeberli, W., 2008. Auch in der Schweiz wirkt sich der Klimawandel zunehmend aus. In: OcCC (ed.). Das Klima ändert – was nun? Der neue UN-Klimabericht (IPCC 2007) und die wichtigsten Ergebnisse aus Sicht der Schweiz. OcCC - Organe consultatif sur les changements climatiques, Bern, 21pp. [Report section 4.2MB] Entire report
Artmann, N., Gyalistras, D., Manz, H. & Heiselberg, P., 2008. Impact of climate warming on passive night cooling potential. Building Res. Inf., 36(2): 111-128. [Abstract] [Article 748KB]
Walz, A., Gloor, C., Bebi, P., Fischlin, A., Lange, E., Nagel, K. & Allgöwer, B., 2008. Virtual worlds - real decisions: Recent research in landscape modelling and visualisation and the potential of computer-based tools for planning. Mountain Res. and Dev., 28(2): 122-127. [Abstract] [Article 672KB] doi: 10.1659/mrd.0965
Fischlin, A., 2008. Klimaschutz, das Kyoto-Protokoll und der Schweizer Wald. Schweiz. Z. Forstwes., 159(9): 258-266. doi: 10.3188/szf.2008.0258 [Abstract] [Article 760KB]
Fischlin, A., 2008, Klimaschutz, das Kyoto-Protokoll und der Schweizer Wald – E-Anhang. Elektronischer Anhang zum zugehörigen Artikel, der in der Schweiz. Z. Forstwes., 159(9): 258-266. doi: 10.3188/szf.2008.0258, publiziert worden ist. [http://e-collection.ethbib.ethz.ch/view/eth:30630]
Fischlin, A., 2008. Harvested wood products - an incentive for deforestation? In: Hetsch, S. (ed.), Proceedings of the Workshop on, Harvested Wood Products in the Context of Climate Change Policies, UNECE/FAO Timber Section, Geneva, Switzerland, Geneva, Switzerland; 9-10 September 2008, 47pp., UNECE/FAO Timber Section, pp. 8-11. [Abstract] [Article 156KB]
Körner, C., Fischlin, A. & Müller-Ferch, G., 2008. Biodiversität im Klimawandel. In: Biodiversität und Klima – Konflikte und Synergien im Massnahmenbereich. Akademie der Naturwissenschaften Schweiz (SCNAT), Bern, Switzerland, pp. 8-9. [Abstract] [Article 88KB]
Fischlin, A. & Volz, R., 2008. Kohlenstoffsenken. In: Biodiversität und Klima – Konflikte und Synergien im Massnahmenbereich. Akademie der Naturwissenschaften Schweiz (SCNAT), Bern, Switzerland, pp. 10-11. [Abstract] [Article 120KB]
Fischlin, A., 2008. Internationale Verantwortung der Schweiz. In: Biodiversität und Klima – Konflikte und Synergien im Massnahmenbereich. Akademie der Naturwissenschaften Schweiz (SCNAT), Bern, Switzerland, pp. 28-29. [Abstract] [Article 96KB]
Walz, A., Gloor, C., Allgöwer, B., Bebi, P., Fischlin, A., Lange, E. & Nagel, K., 2008 (in press). Virtuelle Welten - Reale Entscheide? Die Alpen im Modellbaukasten. NFP48 Synthese V. Verlag der Fachvereine: Zurich, Switzerland, 125pp. [Abstract] [Article 3.2 MB]
Zucker, B. & Fischlin, A., 2008. Grosse Leistung im weltweiten Klimaschutz. Tages-Anzeiger, Sa, 14.Jun.: 38. [Newspaper article 120KB]

2007

Fischlin, A., 2007. Die Arbeit im Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - Klimaforschung und die schwierige Suche nach einem politisch belastbaren Konsens. Neue Zürcher Zeitung, Nr. 265 (Mi. 14.Nov.): B3. [Newspaper article 120KB]
Adger, N. and coauthors including Fischlin, A., 2007. Climate Change 2007: Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability - Summary for Policymakers. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In: Parry, M.L., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof, J.P., van der Linden, P.J. & Hanson, C.E. (eds.), Climate change 2007 - Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Assessment Report Four of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, vii, 973pp.: 7-22. [SPM 936KB] (plenary approved)
Adger, N. and coauthors including Fischlin, A., 2007. Climate Change 2007: Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability - Technical Summary. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In: Parry, M.L., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof, J.P., van der Linden, P.J. & Hanson, C.E. (eds.), Climate change 2007 - Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Assessment Report Four of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, vii, 973pp.: 23-78. [TS 10.3MB]
Fischlin, A. & Midgley, G.F., 2007. Ecosystems, their properties, goods and services. In: Parry, M.L., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof, J.P., van der Linden, P.J. & Hanson, C.E. (eds.), Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Assessment Report Four of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, , vii, 973pp.: 211-272. [Chapter 4 932KB]
Fischlin, A. Webcast «Sectoral impacts - ecosystems» from the presentation given by Andreas Fischlin at UNFCCC 26th sessions of Subsidiary Bodies (SBs) on May 12th 2007. [Webcast] [Slides 51.3MB]
IPCC Autoren inkl. Fischlin, A., 2007. Zusammenfassung für politische Entscheidungsträger. In: Parry, M.L., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof, J.P., van der Linden, P.J. & Hanson, C.E. (eds.), Klimaänderung 2007: Auswirkungen, Anpassung, Verwundbarkeiten. Beitrag der Arbeitsgruppe II zum Vierten Sachstandsbericht des Zwischenstaatlichen Ausschusses für Klimaänderung (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 20-39. Deutsche Übersetzung durch ProClim, ein Forum der Schweizerischen Akademie der Naturwissenschaften (SCNAT), österreichisches Umweltbundesamt, deutsche IPCCKoordinationsstelle, Bern/Wien/Berlin. [SPM 936KB]

Links to the IPCC - Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and its 4th Assessment Report (AR4) consisting of a report by each of the three Working Groups (WGI, WGII, WGII) plus the Synthesis Report (SYR):

SYR - Climate Change 2007 - Synthesis. Full report
WGI - Climate Change 2007 - Physical Science Basis. (Full report, CUP)
WGII - Climate Change 2007 - Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. (Full report, CUP)
WGIII - Climate Change 2007 - Mitigation. (Full report, CUP)
List of Authors SYR - Outline SYR
List of Authors WGI - Outline WGI - Publication dead lines - Timetable
List of Authors WGII - Outline WGII
List of Authors WGIII - Outline WGIII

Andreas Fischlin IPCC authorship

Schlamadinger, B., Bird, N., Brown, S., Canadell, P., Ciccarese, L., Clabbers, B., Dutschke, M., Fiedler, J., Fischlin, A., Forner, C., Freibauer, A., Hoehne, N., Johns, T., Kirschbaum, M., Labat, A., Marland, G., Michaelowa, A., Montanarella, L., Moutinho, P., Murdiyarso, D., Ohyantcabal, W., Pena, N., Penman, J., Pingoud, K., Rakonczay, Z., Rametsteiner, E., Rock, J., Sanz, M.J., Schneider, U., Shivdenko, A., Skutsch, M., Smith, P., Somogyi, Z., Trines, E., Ward, M. & Yamagata, Y., 2007. A synopsis of land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) under the Kyoto Protocol and Marrakech Accords. Environ. Sci. Pol. 10(4): 271-282. [Abstract] [Article 356KB] doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2006.11.002
Warren, R., Price, J., Santiago de la Nava, S., Fischlin, A. & Midgley, G., 2007. Increasing impacts of climate change upon ecosystems with increasing global mean temperature rise. Global Change Biol.: 29pp. (submitted). [Abstract] [Article 364KB]
Fischlin, A., 2007. Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf die Ökosysteme. Hotspot 16(10): 5-6. [Abstract] [Article 264KB]
Fischlin, A., 2007. Leben im und mit dem Klimawandel – Lebensgrundlagen in Gefahr? Systems Ecology and Obwaldner Bildungsforum. Also in: Lohmann, V. & Halter, O. (eds.), Klimawandel – Anzeichen und Perspektiven in Obwalden, Melchtal, Switzerland. Obwaldner Bildungsforum (obf): 17pp. [Article 2.5MB]

2006

Allgöwer, B., Koutsias, N., Kötz, B., Morsdorf, F. & Fischlin, A., 2006. The 4D fire cube: fires and fuels at various scales - towards a holistic approach to wildland fire risk assessment. In: 5th International Conference on Forest Fire Research, Figueira da Foz, Portugal, November 27 - 30, 2006, 2pp. [Abstract 30KB]

Fischlin, A., Buchter, B., Matile, L., Hofer, P., & Taverna, R., 2006: CO2-Senken und Quellen in der Waldwirtschaft - Anrechnung im Rahmen des Kyoto-Protokolls. Umwelt-Wissen Nr. 0602, Bundesamt für Umwelt (BAFU), Bern, Switzerland, 45 pp. [Abstracts] [Bericht 865KB] available in all Swiss national languages: BAFU Publikationen Wald und Holz OFEV Publication Forêt et Bois UFAM Pubblicazioni Bosco & legno

Fuhrer, J., Beniston, M., Fischlin, A., Frei, C., Goyette, S., Jasper, K. & Pfister, C., 2006. Climate risks and their impact on agriculture and forests in Switzerland. Clim. Change, 79(1-2): 79-102. [Abstract] [Article 900KB] doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.11.048

Fukutome, S., Gyalistras, D., Théato, C. & Fischlin, A., 2006. Frequency dependence of tree-ring climate reconstructions. Geophys. Res. Abstr. 8: 07224. [Abstract] [Article 32KB] [See also Poster]

Price, B., Allgöwer, B. & Fischlin, A., 2006. Synchrony and travelling waves of Larch Bud Moth? Time series analysis with changing scale. Ecol. Modelling., 199(4): 433-441. [Abstract] [Article 890KB] doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.11.048

Price, B., 2006. Spatio-temporal modelling and analysis of larch bud moth population dynamics in the European Alps. Diss. ETH No. 16423, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology: Zurich, Switzerland, 220pp. [Abstract] [Article 7.9MB]

Wu, Y., Price, B., Isenegger, D., Fischlin, A., Allgöwer, B. & Nuesch, D., 2006. Real-time 4D visualisation of migratory insect dynamics within an integrated spatio-temporal system. Ecol. Informatics, 1(2): 179-187. [Abstract] [Article 2.1MB] doi: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2006.03.004

2005

Fukutome, S., Gyalistras, D., Théato, C., & Fischlin A., 2005. On the climate frequency response of forests. In: From the Holocene to the Anthropocene - Climate of the last 1000 years. Grosjean, M., & H. Wanner, Eds., Extended abstract, Grindelwald, Switzerland; 8. Aug. - 23. Sep., 2005, NCCR Summer School 2005, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, 2pp. [Abstract] [Ext. Abstract 164KB]

Gardi, O. Analyse und Evaluation der RAMSES Software bezüglich Neuimplementation auf modernen OS X und UNIX/Linux Arbeitsplatzsystemen. Technische Semesterarbeit. Institut für Terrestrische Ökologie, ETH. Zurich, Switzerland. 159 pp. [Abstract] [Report 936 KB]

Isenegger, D., Price, B., Wu, Y., Fischlin, A., Frei, U., Weibull, R., & Allgöwer, B., 2005. IPODLAS - a software architecture for coupling temporal simulation systems, VR, and GIS. Photgrammetry and Remote Sens., 60(1): 4-47. [Abstract] [Article 660KB]

Jones, P., Amador, J., Campos, M., Hayhoe, K., Marín, M., Romero, J. & Fischlin, A., 2005. Generating climate change scenarios at high resolution for impact studies and adaptation: Focus on developing countries. In: Saloh, Y., Robledo, C. & Markku, K. (eds.), Tropical forests and adaptation to climate change: in search of synergies. Island Press, Washington, D.C., USA., ISBN 979-24-4604-4, 186pp., 37-55. [Abstract] [Article 760KB]

Price, B., Isenegger, D., Allgöwer, B. & Fischlin, A., in prep. The influence of orography on Larch bud moth migration at the valley scale. Oikos: 33pp. (submitted). [Abstract] [Article 2.1MB]

Price, B., Isenegger, D., Allgöwer, B. & Fischlin, A., in prep. Spatio-temporal modelling of Larch bud moth in the European Alps: The importance of data resolution. Landscape Ecol.: 39pp. (submitted). [Abstract] [Article 2MB]

Théato, C., Gyalistras, D., Fukutome, S. & Fischlin A., 2005. Forest biodiversity and C-sequestration as a function of past and future climate changes. In: From the Holocene to the Anthropocene - Climate of the last 1000 years. Grosjean, M., & Wanner, H., (eds.), Extended abstract, Grindelwald, Switzerland; 8. Aug. - 23. Sep., 2005, NCCR Summer School 2005, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, 2pp. [Abstract] [Ext. Abstract 256KB]

2004

Jasper, K., Calanca, P., Gyalistras, D. & Fuhrer, J., 2004. Differential impacts of climate change on the hydrology of two alpine river basins. Clim. Res., 26(2): 113-129. [Abstract] [Article 660KB]

Fischlin, A. & Buchmann, N., 2004. Biologische Kohlenstoffkreisläufe - Leistungsfähige Biosphäre. Bull. Swiss Fed. Inst. Technol. Zurich. 293: 10-13. [Abstract] [Article 220KB]

Fischlin, A. & Fuhrer, J., 2004. Die biologische Sequestrerierung von CO2 - Quellen und Senken. Bull. Swiss Fed. Inst. Technol. Zurich. 293: 32-33. [Abstract] [Article 1.4MB]

2003

Schlamadinger, B., Boonpragob, K. Janzen, H. Kurz, W. Lasco, R. Smith, P., Collas, P., Abdalla el Siddig, E.N., Fischlin, A., Matsumoto, M., Nakhutin, A. Noble, I. Pignard, G. Somogyi, Z. Zhang, X.-Q. 2003. Supplementary Methods and Good Practice Guidance Arising from the Kyoto Protocol. In: Penman, J., Gytarsky, M., Hiraishi, T., Krug, T., Kruger, D., Pipatti, R., Buendia, L., Miwa, K., Ngara, T., Tanabe, K. & Wagner, F. (eds.), Good Practice Guidance for Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry. ISBN 4-88788-003-0. Published by the Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES) for the IPCC (Intergovernmenal Panel on Climate Change). Available from IPCC Secretariat or NGGIP (Also available on CD ROM). pp. 4.1-4.86. [Entire Report] [Abstract]

Gyalistras, D., 2003. Development and validation of a high-resolution monthly gridded temperature and precipitation data set for Switzerland (1951-2000). Clim. Res., 25(1): 55-83. [Abstract] [Article 2.1MB]

Turchin P., Wood S.N., Ellner S.P., Kendall B.E., Murdoch W.W., Fischlin A., Casas J., McCauley E. & Briggs C.J., 2002. Dynamical effects of plant quality and parasitism on population cycles of larch budmoth. Ecology, 84(5): 1207-1214. [Abstract] [Article 108KB]

Fischlin, A., Buchter, B., Matile, L., Ammon, K., Hepperle, E., Leifeld, J. & Fuhrer, J., 2003. Bestandesaufnahme zum Thema Senken in der Schweiz. Verfasst im Auftrag des BUWAL. Systems Ecology Report No. 29, Institut für terrestrische Ökologie, Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich (ETHZ), Switzerland, ISBN 3-9522686-0-7: 86 pp. [Bericht 1.6MB] [Deutsche/Französische Zusammenfassung ]

Price, B. & Fischlin, A., 2003. Spatio-temporal modelling of a forest defoliator in the European Alps. Poster presented to the 6th International Association for Landscape Ecology World Congress, Crossing Frontiers - Landscape Ecology Down Under, Darwin, Australia, 13th - 17th July 2003, 1pp. [Abstract ]

2002

Lischke, H., Lotter, A.F. & Fischlin, A., 2002. Untangling a Holocene pollen record with forest model simulations and independent climate data. Ecol. Modeling, 150(1): 1-21. [Abstract] [Article 504KB] doi: 10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00013-3

Albrecht, C., Baccini, P., Baranzini, A., Beniston, M., Bugmann, H., Bürki, T., Fankhauser, S., Fischlin, A., Fuhrer, J., Gonseth, Y., Güsewell, S., Hohmann, R., Janssen, J., Joos, F., Kägi, W., Keuerleber-Burk, D.K., Künzli, N., Oglesby, L., Previdoli, P., Schädler, B. & Stocker, T., 2002. Das Klima ändert sich - auch in der Schweiz. OcCC - Organe consultatif sur les changements climatiques, Bern, Switzerland. ISBN 3-907630-21-1, 48pp. [Abstract] [Article 464KB]

Haller, H. & Fischlin, A., 2002. Bestandesentwicklung im Bereich des Schweizerischen Nationalparks. In: Haller, H., Kühn, R., Fischlin, A. & Haller, R., Der Rothirsch im Schweizerischen Nationalpark und dessen Umgebung. Eine alpine Population von Cervus elaphus zeitlich und räumlich dokumentiert. Nat.park-Forsch. Schweiz, 91: 51-70.

Haller, H., Kühn, R., Fischlin, A. & Haller, R., 2002. Der Rothirsch im Schweizerischen Nationalpark und dessen Umgebung. Eine alpine Population von Cervus elaphus zeitlich und räumlich dokumentiert. Nat.park-Forsch. Schweiz, 91: 200pp.

2001

Kueffer, C., Fischlin, A. & Filli, F., 2001. An Individual-based Model of the Summer Energy Budget of Red Deer (Cervus elaphus L.) in the Swiss National Park. J. Nature Conservation: 39pp. (submitted). [Abstract] [Ms. 76KB]

Gitay, H. et al. (including Fischlin, A. as review editor), 2001. Ecosystems and Their Goods and Services. In: McCarthy, J.J., Canziani, O.F., Leary, N.A., Dokken, D.J. & White, K.S. (eds.), Climate change 2000 - Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge a.o., 1032pp. Chapter "Ecosystems and Their Goods and Services": [Executive Summary (html)] [Table of Contents and Full Text (html)] [Full Text 632KB] Entire TAR report WGII: [Contents] [Summary for Policy Makers] [Technical Summary]

2000

Fischlin, A. 2000. Von der grünen Sau und dem schwarzen Gold. ProClim- Flash, Nr.19 (Nov.): 1-3. [Artikel (deutsch)] [Article (français)]

Fischlin, A. & Fuhrer, J., 2000. Die Klimapolitik bringt die Wissenschaft an ihre Grenzen - Die Herausforderung des Kyoto-Protokolls für die Ökologie NZZ, Nr.262 (9.Nov.): 11. [Artikel] [Text ] [Figur ]

1999

Perruchoud, D., Joos, F., Fischlin, A., Hajdas, I. & Bonani, G., 1999. Evaluating timescales of carbon turnover in temperate forest soils with radiocarbon data. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 13(2): 555-573. doi: 10.1029/1999GB900003 [Abstract] [Article 1.6MB]

Gyalistras, D. & Fischlin, A., 1999. Towards a general method to construct regional climatic scenarios for model-based impacts assessments. Petermanns geographische Mitteilungen, 143(4): 251-264. [Abstract] [Article high quality 2.4MB] [Article low quality 1.5MB]

Luterbacher, J., Schmutz, C., Gyalistras, D., Xoplaki, E. & Wanner, H., 1999. Reconstruction of monthly NAO and EU indices back to AD 1675. Geophysical Research Letters, 26(17): 2745-2748. [Abstract] [Article 332KB]

Riedo, M., Gyalistras, D., Fischlin, A. & Fuhrer, J., 1999. Using an ecosystem model linked to GCM-derived local weather scenarios to analyze effects of climate change and elevated CO2 on dry matter production and partitioning, and water use in temperate managed grasslands. Global Change Biology, 5: 213-223. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.1999.00221.x [Abstract] [Article 368KB]

1998

Lischke, H., Loeffler, T.J. & Fischlin, A., 1998. Aggregation of individual trees and patches in forest succession models - Capturing variability with height structured random dispersions. Theoretical Population Biology, 54(3): 213-226. doi: 10.1006/tpbi.1998.1378 [Abstract] [Article 696KB]

Theurillat, J.P., Felber, F., Geissler, P., Gobat, J.-M., Fierz, M., Fischlin, A., Kuepfer, P., Schluessel, A., Velluti, C., Zhao, G.-F. & Williams, J., 1998. Sensitivity of plant and soil ecosystems of the Alps to climate change. In: Cebon, P., Dahinden, U., Davies, H.C., Imboden, D.M. & Jaeger, C.C. (eds.), Views from the Alps: regional perspectives on climate change. MIT Press, Boston, Massachusetts a.o., pp. 289-308. [Abstract] [Article 6.5MB]

Lischke, H., Guisan, A., Fischlin, A., Williams, J. & Bugmann, H., 1998. Vegetation responses to climate change in the Alps: modeling studies. In: Cebon, P., Dahinden, U., Davies, H.C., Imboden, D.M. & Jaeger, C.C. (eds.), Views from the Alps: regional perspectives on climate change. MIT Press, Boston, Massachusetts a.o., pp. 309-350. [Abstract] [Article 2.8MB]

1997

Fischlin, A., 1997. Biospheric feedbacks in the global climate system. Journal of Environmental Quality, 26(4): 2. [Article 496KB]

Fischlin, A. & D. Gyalistras 1997. Assessing impacts of climatic change on forests in the Alps. Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters 6:19-37. [Abstract] [Article 1.6MB]

Gyalistras, D., 1997. Projecting scenarios of climatic change and future weather for ecosystem models: derivation of methods and their application to forests in the Alps. Diss. ETH No. 12065, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology: Zurich, Switzerland, 103pp.

Gyalistras, D., Fischlin, A. & M. Riedo, 1997. Herleitung stuendlicher Wetterszenarien unter zukuenftigen Klimabedingungen. In: Fuhrer, J. (ed.), Klimaaenderung und Gruenland - eine Modellstudie ueber die Auswirkungen zukuenftiger Klimaveraenderungen auf das Dauergruenland in der Schweiz. vdf, Hochschulverlag AG an der ETH Zurich, pp. 207-263. [Article 3.7MB]

Lischke, H., T. J. Loeffler & A. Fischlin, 1997. Calculating temperature dependence over long time periods: A comparison and study of methods. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 86(3-4):169-181. doi: 10.1016/S0168-1923(97)00015-4 [Abstract] [Article 740KB]

Lischke, H., Loeffler, T.J., Fischlin, A., 1997. Calculating temperature dependence over long time periods: Derivation of methods. Ecological Modelling, 98(2-3): 105-122. doi: 10.1016/S0304-3800(96)01907-2 [Abstract] [Article 852KB]

Riedo, M., Gyalistras, D., Grub, A., Rosset, M. & J. Fuhrer, 1997. Modelling grassland responses to climate change and elevated CO2. Acta Oecologica, 18(3): 305-311. [Abstract] [Article 676KB]

Bugmann, H., 1997. An efficient method for estimating the steady-state species composition of forest gap models. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 27(4): 551-556. [Abstract] [Article 124KB]

1996

Fischlin, A., 1996. Conflicting objectives while maximizing carbon sequestration by forests. NATO ASI Series, I-40(452): 163-172. [Abstract] [Article 4.5MB]

Perruchoud, D., 1996. Modeling the dynamics of nonliving organic carbon in a changing climate: a case study for temperate forests. Diss. ETH No. 11900, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology: Zurich, Switzerland, pp. 213.

Bugmann, H., 1996. A simplified forest model to study species composition along climate gradients. Ecology, 77(7): 2055-2074. [Abstract] [Article 2.4MB]

Bugmann, H., Fischlin, A. & Kienast, F., 1996. Model convergence and state variable update in forest gap models. Ecological Modelling, 89: 197-208. doi: 10.1016/0304-3800(95)00135-2 [Abstract] [Article 804KB]

Bugmann, H. & Fischlin, A., 1996. Simulating forest dynamics in a complex topography using gridded climatic data. Climatic Change, 34: 201-211. [Abstract] [Article 1MB]

Kirschbaum, M. & Fischlin, A., 1996. Climate change impacts on forests. In: Watson, R., Zinyowera, M.C. & Moss, R.H. (eds.), Climate change 1995 - Impacts, adaptations and mitigation of climate change: scientific-technical analysis. Contribution of Working Group II to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge a.o., pp. 95-129. Chapter "Forests": [Abstract] [Executive Summary] [Full text 26.7 MB] Entire SAR report: [Contents] [Intro] [Summary for Policy Makers ] [Scope & Approach]

Matthews, R., Nabuurs, G.-J., Alexeyev, V., Birdsey, R., Fischlin, A., Maclaren, J.P., Marland, G. & Price, D.T., 1996. Evaluating the effects of alternative forest management regimes on the role of forests and forest products in the carbon cycle. NATO ASI Series, I-40(452): 293-301. [Article high quality 2.3MB] [Article low quality 0.9MB]

Nemecek, T., Derron, J.O., Roth, O. & Fischlin, A., 1996. Adaptation of a crop-growth model and its extension by a tuber size function for use in a seed potato forecasting system. Agricultural Systems, 52(4): 419-437. doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(96)00034-0 [Abstract] [Article 752KB]

1995

Fischlin, A., 1995. Assessing sensitivities of forests to climate change: experiences from modelling case studies. In: Guisan, A., Holten, J.I., Spichiger, R. & Tessier, L. (eds.), Potential ecological impacts of climate change in the Alps and Fennoscandian mountains. Conserv. Jard. Bot., Geneva, pp. 145-147.

Bugmann, H.K. & Martin, P., 1995. How physics and biology matter in forest gap models. Climatic Change, 29(3): 251-257. [Abstract] [Article 492KB]

Bugmann, H.K.M. & Solomon, A.M., 1995. The use of a European forest model in North America: a study of ecosystem response to climate gradients. Journal of Biogeography, 22: 477-484. [Abstract] [Article 940KB]

Fischlin, A., Bugmann, H. & Gyalistras, D., 1995. Sensitivity of a Forest Ecosystem Model to Climate Parametrization Schemes. Environmental Pollution, 87(3): 267-282. doi: 10.1016/0269-7491(94)P4158-K [Abstract] [Article 1.2MB]

Gyalistras, D. & Fischlin, A., 1995. Downscaling: applications to ecosystems modeling. In: Muircheartaigh, I.O. (ed.): Proc. of the 6th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology, Galway, Ireland: Jun. 19-23d, 1995. University College, Galway, Ireland, pp. 189-192.

Gyalistras, D. & A. Fischlin, 1995. Experience with climate scenarios in the Alpine region. In: Bartholy, J. (ed.): Proceedings of a Workshop on Regional Climate Change in Central-East Europe, Budapest, Hungary: Nov. 28-30th, 1994. Eoetvoes Lorand University, Budapest, pp. 50-56.

Gyalistras, D. & H. Wanner, 1995. Scenarios for local meteorological events and conditions in mountain environments. In: Proceedings of a Symposium on the Role of the Hydrological Cycle in Mountain Ecosystems, ETH Zurich: Nov. 16-17th, 1995. ProClim, Berne, 2 pp.

Nemecek, T., Derron, J.O., Fischlin, A. & Roth, O., 1995. Use of a crop growth model coupled to an epidemic model to forecast yield and virus infection in seed potatoes. In: Haverkort, A.J. & MacKerron, D.K.L. (eds.), Potato Ecology and Modelling of Crops Under Conditions Limiting Growth. Kluwer Academic Publishers, The Netherlands, pp. 281-290.

Nemecek, T., Schwaerzel, R. & Derron, J. O., 1995. Quels facteurs déterminent l'infection virale des pommes de terre? Une analyse de système de la production de plants. Revue Suisse Agriculture, 27(2): 73-77.

Perruchoud, D. & Fischlin, A., 1995. The response of the carbon cycle in undisturbed forest ecosystems to climate change: A review of plant-soil models. Journal of Biogeography, 22: 759-774. [Abstract] [Article 636KB]

Roth, O., Derron, J., Fischlin, A., Nemecek, T. & Ulrich, M., 1995. Implementation and parameter adaptation of a potato crop simulation model combined with a soil water subsystem. In: Kabat, P., Marshall, B., van den Broek, B.J., Vos, J. & van Keulen, H. (eds.), Modelling and parametrization of the soil-plant atmosphere system - a comparison of potato growth models. Wageningen Pers, Wageningen, The Netherlands, pp. 371-399. [Abstract]

1994

Bugmann, H., 1994. On the ecology of mountainous forests in a changing climate: a simulation study. Diss. ETH No. 10638, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology: Zurich, Switzerland, 258pp. [Thesis 1.9MB]

Bugmann, H.K. & Fischlin, A., 1994. Comparing the behaviour of mountainous forest succession models in a changing climate. In: Beniston, M. (ed.), Mountain Environments in Changing Climates. 484pp., Routledge Publishing Co., London, pp. 237-255. [Abstract] (prepublication variant: Systems Ecology Report #16 PDF )

Fischlin, A. & Bugmann, H.K., 1994. Think globally, act locally! A small country case study in reducing net CO2 emissions by carbon fixation policies. In: Kanninen, M. (ed.), Carbon balance of world's forested ecosystems: towards a global assessment. Academy of Finland, Helsinki, Finland, pp. 256-266. [Abstract]

Fischlin, A. & Bugmann, H.K., 1994. Koennen forstliche Massnahmen einen Beitrag zur Verminderung der CO2-Emissionen leisten? Oekologische Grundlagen und erste Abschaetzungen. Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen, 145: 275-292. [Zusammenfassung] [Résumé] [Article 1.4MB]

Gyalistras, D., von Storch, H., Fischlin, A. & Beniston, M., 1994. Linking GCM-simulated climatic changes to ecosystem models: case studies of statistical downscaling in the Alps. Climate Research, 4(3): 167-189. [Abstract] [Article high quality 3.7MB] [Article low quality 2.5MB]

Nemecek, T., Derron, J.O., Schwaerzel, R., Fischlin, A. & Roth, O., 1994. Un modele de simulation au service des producteurs de plants de pommes de terre. Revue Suisse Agriculture, 26(1): 17-20. [Article 608KB]

Thoeny, J., Fischlin, A. & Gyalistras, D., 1994. RASS: Towards Bridging the Gap between Interactive and Off-line Simulations. In: Halin, J. (ed.), San Diego, California, The Society for Computer Simulation, 99-103. [Abstract]

1993

Nemecek, T., 1993. The role of aphid behavior in the epidemiology of potato virus Y: a simulation study. Diss. ETH No. 10086, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology: Zurich, Switzerland, pp. 232.

1992

Fischlin, A., 1992. Modellierung und Computersimulation in den Umweltnatur- wissenschaften. In: Schaufelberger, W. (ed.), Computer im Unterricht an der ETH Zurich, Bericht ueber das Projekt IDA (Informatik Dient Allen) 1986-1991. 197pp., Verlag der Fachvereine, Zurich, Switzerland, pp. 165-178.

Gyalistras, D., 1992. Climate change scenarios for FUTURALP. In: FUTURALP Report No. 2, International Center for Alpine Environments (ICALPE). Université J. Fourier, Grenoble, France, pp. 75-80.

Bugmann, H.K. & Fischlin, A., 1992. Ecological processes in forest gap models - analysis and improvement. In: Teller, A., Mathy, P. & Jeffers, J.N.R. (eds.), Responses of forest ecosystems to environmental changes. Elsevier Applied Science, London & New York, pp. 953-954. [Extended Abstract ]

Wirth, N., Gutknecht, J., Heiz, W., Schaer, H., Seiler, H., Vetterli, C. & Fischlin, A., 1992. MacMETH. A fast Modula-2 language system for the Apple Macintosh. User Manual. 4th, completely revised ed. Department of Computer Sciences (ETH), Zurich, Switzerland, 116 pp. [Manual ]

1991

Fischlin, A., 1991. Interactive modeling and simulation of environmental systems on workstations. In: Moeller, D.P.F. (ed.), Analysis of dynamic systems in medicine, biology, and ecology. Informatik-Fachberichte, 275: 131-145. [Abstract] [Article high quality 2.3MB] [Article low quality 1.6MB]

1988

Baltensweiler, W. & Fischlin, A., 1988. The larch bud moth in the Alps. In: Berryman, A.A. (ed.), Dynamics of forest insect populations: patterns, causes, implications. Plenum Publishing Corporation, New York a.o., pp. 331-351. [Article 1.8MB]

Vancso, K. & Fischlin, A., 1988. Automated construction of interactive learning programs in Modula-2. Computers and Education, 12(4): 507-512. [Abstract] [Article 392KB]

Vancso, K., Fischlin, A. & Schaufelberger, W. 1988. SAM - Simulation and modelling software for working stations based on modelling theory. In: Vichnevetsky, R., Borne, P. & Vignes, J. (eds.), Proc. IMACS 1988, Paris, July 18-22, 12th IMACS World Congress on Scientific Computation, July 18-22 1988, Paris, France, 5 Vols., 2: 761-763. [Abstract]

Ventura, A., Schaufelberger, W. & Fischlin, A., 1988. The use of Apple Macintosh computers in teaching at ETH Zurich. Wheels for the Mind, 2(Sep): 19-26.

1987

Fischlin, A., 1987. Suende oder Unverstand? Zur heutigen Umweltproblematik [Sin or Irrationality? On today's environmental problems]. In: Feyerabend, P. & Thomas, C. (eds.), Leben mit den "Acht Todsuenden der zivilisierten Menschheit"? Eine aktuelle Diskussion an der ETH Zurich zu den Thesen von Konrad Lorenz. Verlag der Fachvereine, Zurich, pp. 65-91. [Artikel 1.5MB]

Baltensweiler, W. & Fischlin, A., 1987. On methods of analyzing ecosystems: Lessons from the analysis of forest-insect systems. Ecological Studies, 61(435): 401-415. [Abstract] [Article 1.5MB]

Fischlin, A. & Ulrich, M., 1987. Interaktive Simulation schlecht-definierter Systeme auf modernen Arbeitsplatzrechnern: die Modula-2 Simulationssoftware ModelWorks. In: Moeller, D.P.F. (ed.), Simulation in Biologie und Medizin. Vieweg, Braunschweig, pp. 1-9. [Abstract] [Zusammenfassung]

Fischlin, A. & Schaufelberger, W., 1987. Arbeitsplatzrechner im technisch- naturwissenschaftlichen Hochschulunterricht. Bulletin SEV/VSE, 78(Januar): 15-21.

Fischlin, A., Mansour, M.A., Rimvall, M. & Schaufelberger, W., 1987. Simulation and computer aided control system design in engineering education. In: Troch, I., Kopacek, P. & Breitenecker, F. (eds.), Simulation of Control Systems. Pergamon Press, 459pp., Oxford a.o., pp. 51-60.

Vancso, K., Fischlin, A. & Schaufelberger, W., 1987. Die Entwicklung interaktiver Modellierungs- und Simulationssoftware mit Modula-2. In: Halin, J. (ed.), Simulationstechnik. Springer, Berlin a.o. Informatik-Fachberichte, 150: 239-249. [Abstract] [Article 760KB]

Selected References Published Earlier

Fischlin, A., 1982. Analyse eines Wald-Insekten-Systems: Der subalpine Lärchen-Arvenwald und der graue Lärchenwickler Zeiraphera diniana Gn. (Lep., Tortricidae). Diss. ETH No. 6977, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology: Zürich, Switzerland, 294 pp. [Abstract] [Zusammenfassung] [Thesis 10.3MB] [Appendix Microfiches 0.9MB] [ETH E-Collection]

Fischlin, A. & Baltensweiler, W., 1979. Systems analysis of the larch bud moth system. Part I: the larch-larch bud moth relationship. Mitt. Schweiz. Ent. Ges., 52: 273-289. [Abstract] [Article 1.3MB]

Baltensweiler, W. & Fischlin, A., 1979. The role of migration for the population dynamics of the larch bud moth, Zeiraphera diniana Gn. (Lep. Tortricidae). Mitt. Schweiz. Ent. Ges., 52: 259-271. [Abstract] [Article high quality 2.3MB] [Article low quality 0.8MB]

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